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Copy pathAnalysisFunctions.py
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667 lines (570 loc) · 33.5 KB
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import os
import pandas as pd
import datetime
import SimFunctions as sf
import Utils as utils
import math
import time
def read(path, fileName):
return utils.convertToDateTimeDate(pd.read_csv(os.path.join(path, fileName) + ".csv", index_col=0, header=0).squeeze("columns"))
def determineContributionDates(data, startDate, frequency=14):
found = data[startDate:]
nextBiweeklyDate = datetime.datetime.strptime(startDate, "%Y-%m-%d") + datetime.timedelta(days=frequency)
for date,_ in found.items():
dateTime = datetime.datetime.strptime(date, "%Y-%m-%d")
if (dateTime - nextBiweeklyDate).days >= 0:
found.at[date] = True
nextBiweeklyDate = nextBiweeklyDate + datetime.timedelta(days=14)
else:
found.at[date] = False
return found
def percentChanges(prices):
tmp = (1 + prices.pct_change(1))
tmp[0] = 1
return tmp
def drawdown(prices):
rets = sf.returns(prices)
return (rets.div(rets.cummax()) - 1) * 100
def cagr(prices):
delta = (prices.index[-1] - prices.index[0]).days / 365.25
return ((prices[-1] / prices[0]) ** (1 / delta) - 1) * 100
def percentageBased(stockData, portfolio, doRebalances=True, investMethod="target",\
startingBalance=100000, periodicDeposit=0, depositInterval=14,\
startDate=datetime.date(2005, 1, 28), endDate=datetime.date(2023, 2, 3)):
if len(portfolio) <= 1:
doRebalances = False
value = {'total':pd.Series(dtype="float64"), 'totalReturns':pd.Series(dtype="float64"), \
'params':(portfolio, startingBalance, startDate, endDate, periodicDeposit, depositInterval)}
value['total'].at[startDate] = startingBalance
nextInvestDate = startDate + datetime.timedelta(days=depositInterval)
rebalanceColumns = []
balances = {}
for _,stock in enumerate(portfolio):
if "startPercent" in stock.keys():
stock["targetPercent"] = stock["startPercent"]
balances[stock["ticker"]] = startingBalance * stock["targetPercent"]
rebalanceColumns.append(stock["ticker"])
rebalanceColumns.append("date")
for _,stock in enumerate(portfolio):
rebalanceColumns.append("post " + stock["ticker"])
value['rebalances'] = pd.DataFrame(columns=rebalanceColumns)
previousDate = startDate
for date,_ in stockData["spy"][startDate:endDate].items():
# Update the value and determine total value
totalValue = 0
for _,stock in enumerate(portfolio):
balances[stock["ticker"]] = balances[stock["ticker"]] * stockData[stock["ticker"]][date]
totalValue += balances[stock["ticker"]]
value["total"].at[date] = totalValue
value["totalReturns"].at[date] = value["total"][date] / value["total"][previousDate] - 1
# See if we need to rebalance
rebalance = False
rebalanceRow = []
if doRebalances:
for _,stock in enumerate(portfolio):
rebalanceRow.append(balances[stock["ticker"]] / totalValue)
if (rebalanceRow[-1] > (stock["targetPercent"] + stock["maxIncrease"]) or
rebalanceRow[-1] < (stock["targetPercent"] - stock["maxDecrease"])):
rebalance = True
# Check for periodic investments
if periodicDeposit > 0 and (date - nextInvestDate).days >= 0:
nextInvestDate = nextInvestDate + datetime.timedelta(days=depositInterval)
if investMethod == "target":
for _,stock in enumerate(portfolio):
balances[stock["ticker"]] += periodicDeposit * stock["targetPercent"]
elif investMethod == "current":
for _,stock in enumerate(portfolio):
balances[stock["ticker"]] += periodicDeposit * balances[stock["ticker"]] / totalValue
else:
print("Failed rebalance!")
value["total"].at[date] += periodicDeposit
# Rebalance if needed
if rebalance:
preRebalance = totalValue
postRebalance = 0
# for 3 if one is near, either neither of the other are or one is near the other end
'''delta = {}
unchanged = []
if "increment" in stock.keys():
netDelta = 0
for i,stock in enumerate(portfolio):
if rebalanceRow[i] > (stock["targetPercent"] + stock["maxIncrease"] - stock["rebalanceTolerance"]):
print("over", stock["ticker"], rebalanceRow[i])
if stock["targetPercent"] < stock["maxTarget"]:
delta[stock["ticker"]] = stock["increment"]
if delta[stock["ticker"]] + stock["targetPercent"] > stock["maxTarget"]:
delta[stock["ticker"]] = stock["maxTarget"] - stock["targetPercent"]
netDelta -= delta[stock["ticker"]]
else:
delta[stock["ticker"]] = 0
elif rebalanceRow[i] < (stock["targetPercent"] - stock["maxDecrease"] + stock["rebalanceTolerance"]):
print("under", stock["ticker"], rebalanceRow[i])
if stock["targetPercent"] > stock["minTarget"]:
delta[stock["ticker"]] = -stock["increment"]
if delta[stock["ticker"]] + stock["targetPercent"] < stock["minTarget"]:
delta[stock["ticker"]] = stock["minTarget"] - stock["targetPercent"]
netDelta -= delta[stock["ticker"]]
else:
delta[stock["ticker"]] = 0
else:
print("unchanged", stock["ticker"], rebalanceRow[i])
unchanged.append(stock)
#nonCloseDelta = {}
print(netDelta)
if netDelta == 0:
for i,stock in enumerate(unchanged):
delta[stock["ticker"]] = 0
else:
balancing = True
tmpDelta = {}
while balancing:
tmpDelta = {}
balancing = False
for i,stock in enumerate(unchanged):
tmpDelta[stock["ticker"]] = netDelta / len(unchanged)
tmpTarget = stock["targetPercent"] + tmpDelta[stock["ticker"]]
if tmpTarget < stock["minTarget"]:
delta[stock["ticker"]] = stock["minTarget"] - stock["targetPercent"]
netDelta -= delta[stock["ticker"]]
del unchanged[i]
balancing = True
print(stock["ticker"],"mined",delta[stock["ticker"]])
elif tmpTarget > stock["maxTarget"]:
delta[stock["ticker"]] = stock["maxTarget"] - stock["targetPercent"]
netDelta -= delta[stock["ticker"]]
del unchanged[i]
balancing = True
print(stock["ticker"],"maxed",delta[stock["ticker"]])
for ticker, delt in tmpDelta.items():
print(ticker, "inbetween", delt)
netDelta -= delt
delta[ticker] = delt
print(netDelta)
if netDelta > 1e-12:
print("------------------ Need more work! -------------------")
for _,stock in enumerate(portfolio):
fromTarget = stock["targetPercent"]
stock["targetPercent"] += delta[stock["ticker"]]
print("adjusted", stock["ticker"], fromTarget, "to", stock["targetPercent"])
'''
if "maxRebalance" in next(iter(portfolio)):
#print("--- rebalance ---")
unbalanced = []
unbalancedCurrTotal = 0
unaccountedPercentage = 1
for i,stock in enumerate(portfolio):
if "forceMinRebalance" in stock:
if rebalanceRow[i] < stock["forceMinRebalance"]:
#print('fm', stock["ticker"], rebalanceRow[i], stock["forceMinRebalance"])
balances[stock["ticker"]] = totalValue * stock["forceMinRebalance"]
unaccountedPercentage -= stock["forceMinRebalance"]
else:
#print('fm', stock["ticker"], rebalanceRow[i], rebalanceRow[i])
unaccountedPercentage -= rebalanceRow[i]
elif "forceRebalance" in stock:
#print('f', stock["ticker"], rebalanceRow[i], stock["forceRebalance"])
balances[stock["ticker"]] = totalValue * stock["forceRebalance"]
unaccountedPercentage -= stock["forceRebalance"]
elif rebalanceRow[i] > (stock["targetPercent"] + stock["maxIncrease"]):
#print('max', stock["ticker"], rebalanceRow[i], stock["maxRebalance"])
balances[stock["ticker"]] = totalValue * stock["maxRebalance"]
unaccountedPercentage -= stock["maxRebalance"]
elif rebalanceRow[i] < (stock["targetPercent"] - stock["maxDecrease"]):
#print('min', stock["ticker"], rebalanceRow[i], stock["minRebalance"])
balances[stock["ticker"]] = totalValue * stock["minRebalance"]
unaccountedPercentage -= stock["minRebalance"]
else:
#print('u', stock["ticker"], rebalanceRow[i])
unbalanced.append(stock)
unbalancedCurrTotal += balances[stock["ticker"]]
postRebalance -= balances[stock["ticker"]]
postRebalance +=balances[stock["ticker"]]
leftPercentage = unaccountedPercentage
#print("left", unaccountedPercentage)
for stock in unbalanced:
targetPercentage = balances[stock["ticker"]] / unbalancedCurrTotal * leftPercentage
#print('u', stock["ticker"], targetPercentage)
balances[stock["ticker"]] = totalValue * targetPercentage
unaccountedPercentage -= targetPercentage
postRebalance +=balances[stock["ticker"]]
if unaccountedPercentage > 1e-12:
print(" ")
print(" ")
print("----------ERROR-----------", unaccountedPercentage)
print(" ")
print(" ")
else:
for i,stock in enumerate(portfolio):
balances[stock["ticker"]] = totalValue * stock["targetPercent"]
postRebalance += balances[stock["ticker"]]
rebalanceRow.append(date)
for i,stock in enumerate(portfolio):
rebalanceRow.append(balances[stock["ticker"]] / totalValue)
value["rebalances"].loc[len(value["rebalances"])] = rebalanceRow
if (preRebalance - postRebalance) > 0.01:
print("-------------- REBALANCE ERROR -----------", preRebalance, postRebalance)
previousDate = date
value["endingBalances"] = balances
value["endingPercentages"] = {}
for i,stock in enumerate(portfolio):
value["endingPercentages"][stock["ticker"]] = balances[stock["ticker"]] / value['total'][-1]
return postAnalysis(value)
def sellStock(ticker, amount, date, totalStocks, purchases, priceData, gains, fifo):
toSell = amount / priceData[ticker][date]
totalStocks[ticker] -= toSell
while toSell > 0:
if fifo:
purchase = purchases[ticker].pop(0)
else:
purchase = purchases[ticker].pop()
# Determine how much to sell
leftover = 0
sold = purchase[1]
if purchase[1] > toSell:
leftover = purchase[1] - toSell
sold = toSell
toSell -= sold
# Determine gains
if not (date.year in gains.index):
gains.loc[date.year] = [0,0]
sellGains = sold * (priceData[ticker][date] - priceData[ticker][purchase[0]])
if (date - purchase[0]).days > 365.25:
gains.at[date.year, "long term"] = gains.at[date.year, "long term"] + sellGains
else:
gains.at[date.year, "short term"] = gains.at[date.year, "short term"] + sellGains
#print(ticker, "short gains", sellGains, "from", purchase[0], "on", date)
# print(ticker, "selling with gains", sellGains, "from", purchase[0], "on", date)
# add any leftover back in
if leftover > 0:
if fifo:
purchases[ticker].insert(0, [purchase[0], leftover])
else:
purchases[ticker].append([purchase[0], leftover])
#print("----------")
#print("sell", ticker, amount, amount / priceData[ticker][date])
#print(">", purchases)
def buyStock(ticker, amount, date, totalStocks, purchases, priceData):
quantity = amount / priceData[ticker][date]
purchases[ticker].append([date, quantity])
totalStocks[ticker] += quantity
#print(ticker, "buying now on ", date)
#print("----------")
#print("buy", ticker, amount, quantity)
#print(">", purchases)
def percentageBased2(stockData, portfolio, doRebalances=True,\
startingBalance=100000, periodicDeposit=0, depositInterval=14,\
taxable=False, ltTax = .2875, stTax = .4075, fifo=True,\
startDate=datetime.date(2005, 1, 28), endDate=datetime.date(2023, 2, 3)):
print(portfolio, doRebalances, startingBalance, periodicDeposit, depositInterval,\
taxable, ltTax, stTax, fifo, startDate, endDate)
if len(portfolio) <= 1:
doRebalances = False
purchases = {}
totalStocks = {}
nextInvestDate = startDate + datetime.timedelta(days=depositInterval)
previousDate = startDate
value = {'total':pd.Series(dtype="float64"), 'totalReturns':pd.Series(dtype="float64"), \
'params':(portfolio, startingBalance, startDate, endDate, periodicDeposit, depositInterval)}
value['total'].at[startDate] = startingBalance
value['yearlyGains'] = pd.DataFrame(columns=["short term", "long term"])
rebalanceColumns = []
for _,stock in enumerate(portfolio):
if "startPercent" in stock.keys():
stock["targetPercent"] = stock["startPercent"]
purchases[stock["ticker"]] = []
totalStocks[stock["ticker"]] = 0
buyStock(stock["ticker"], startingBalance * stock["targetPercent"], startDate, totalStocks, purchases, stockData)
rebalanceColumns.append(stock["ticker"])
rebalanceColumns.append("date")
for _,stock in enumerate(portfolio):
rebalanceColumns.append(stock["ticker"])
value['rebalances'] = pd.DataFrame(columns=rebalanceColumns)
for date,_ in stockData["spy"][startDate:endDate].items():
# Update the value and determine total value
totalValue = 0
for _,stock in enumerate(portfolio):
totalValue += totalStocks[stock["ticker"]] * stockData[stock["ticker"]][date]
value["total"].at[date] = totalValue
value["totalReturns"].at[date] = value["total"][date] / value["total"][previousDate] - 1
periodicInvest = periodicDeposit > 0 and (date - nextInvestDate).days >= 0
rebalance = False
rebalanceRow = []
# See if we need to rebalance
if doRebalances:
for _,stock in enumerate(portfolio):
rebalanceRow.append(totalStocks[stock["ticker"]] * stockData[stock["ticker"]][date] / totalValue)
if (rebalanceRow[-1] > (stock["targetPercent"] + stock["maxIncrease"]) or
rebalanceRow[-1] < (stock["targetPercent"] - stock["maxDecrease"])):
rebalance = True
if rebalance:
#print("------ rebalance -----", date)
if periodicInvest:
nextInvestDate = nextInvestDate + datetime.timedelta(days=depositInterval)
totalValue += periodicDeposit
if "maxRebalance" in next(iter(portfolio)):
unbalanced = []
unbalancedCurrTotal = 0
unaccountedPercentage = 1
for i,stock in enumerate(portfolio):
targetValue = 0
if "forceMinRebalance" in stock:
if rebalanceRow[i] < stock["forceMinRebalance"]:
#print('fm', stock["ticker"], rebalanceRow[i], stock["forceMinRebalance"])
targetValue = totalValue * stock["forceMinRebalance"]
unaccountedPercentage -= stock["forceMinRebalance"]
else:
#print('fm', stock["ticker"], rebalanceRow[i], rebalanceRow[i])
unaccountedPercentage -= rebalanceRow[i]
elif "forceRebalance" in stock:
#print('f', stock["ticker"], rebalanceRow[i], stock["forceRebalance"])
targetValue = totalValue * stock["forceRebalance"]
unaccountedPercentage -= stock["forceRebalance"]
elif rebalanceRow[i] > (stock["targetPercent"] + stock["maxIncrease"]):
#print('max', stock["ticker"], rebalanceRow[i], stock["maxRebalance"])
targetValue = totalValue * stock["maxRebalance"]
unaccountedPercentage -= stock["maxRebalance"]
elif rebalanceRow[i] < (stock["targetPercent"] - stock["maxDecrease"]):
#print('min', stock["ticker"], rebalanceRow[i], stock["minRebalance"])
targetValue = totalValue * stock["minRebalance"]
unaccountedPercentage -= stock["minRebalance"]
else:
#print('u', stock["ticker"], rebalanceRow[i])
unbalanced.append(stock)
unbalancedCurrTotal += totalStocks[stock["ticker"]] * stockData[stock["ticker"]][date]
if targetValue > 0:
currentValue = totalStocks[stock["ticker"]] * stockData[stock["ticker"]][date]
diff = currentValue - targetValue
#print(stock["ticker"], currentValue, targetValue, diff)
if diff > 0:
sellStock(stock["ticker"], diff, date, totalStocks, purchases, stockData, value['yearlyGains'], fifo)
elif diff < 0:
buyStock(stock["ticker"], abs(diff), date, totalStocks, purchases, stockData)
leftPercentage = unaccountedPercentage
#print("left", unaccountedPercentage)
for stock in unbalanced:
currentValue = totalStocks[stock["ticker"]] * stockData[stock["ticker"]][date]
targetPercentage = currentValue / unbalancedCurrTotal * leftPercentage
targetValue = totalValue * targetPercentage
diff = currentValue - targetValue
#print('u', stock["ticker"], targetPercentage)
#print(stock["ticker"], currentValue, targetValue, diff)
if diff > 0:
sellStock(stock["ticker"], diff, date, totalStocks, purchases, stockData, value['yearlyGains'], fifo)
elif diff < 0:
buyStock(stock["ticker"], abs(diff), date, totalStocks, purchases, stockData)
unaccountedPercentage -= targetPercentage
if unaccountedPercentage > 1e-12:
print(" ")
print(" ")
print("----------ERROR-----------", unaccountedPercentage)
print(" ")
print(" ")
else:
for _,stock in enumerate(portfolio):
currentValue = totalStocks[stock["ticker"]] * stockData[stock["ticker"]][date]
targetValue = totalValue * stock["targetPercent"]
diff = currentValue - targetValue
#print(stock["ticker"], currentValue, targetValue, diff)
if diff > 0:
sellStock(stock["ticker"], diff, date, totalStocks, purchases, stockData, value['yearlyGains'], fifo)
elif diff < 0:
buyStock(stock["ticker"], abs(diff), date, totalStocks, purchases, stockData)
rebalanceRow.append(date)
for i,stock in enumerate(portfolio):
rebalanceRow.append(totalStocks[stock["ticker"]] * stockData[stock["ticker"]][date] / totalValue)
value["rebalances"].loc[len(value["rebalances"])] = rebalanceRow
#print(rebalanceRow)
elif periodicInvest:
nextInvestDate = nextInvestDate + datetime.timedelta(days=depositInterval)
for _,stock in enumerate(portfolio):
buyStock(stock["ticker"], periodicDeposit * stock["targetPercent"], date, totalStocks, purchases, stockData)
if taxable:
# Time for taxes! Oh boy!
if date.month == 4 and previousDate.month == 3:
if (date.year - 1 in value['yearlyGains'].index):
yearlyGains = value['yearlyGains'].loc[date.year - 1]
totalGains = yearlyGains[0] + yearlyGains[1]
#print("------ Taxes -----", date)
if totalGains < 0:
toBuy = abs(totalGains)
if toBuy > 3000:
if not (date.year in value['yearlyGains'].index):
value['yearlyGains'].loc[date.year] = [0, 3000 - toBuy]
else:
value['yearlyGains'].at[date.year, "long term"] = value['yearlyGains'].at[date.year, "long term"] + 3000 - toBuy
toBuy = 3000
#print("buying", toBuy * stTax, "rolling",value['yearlyGains'].at[date.year, "long term"])
for _,stock in enumerate(portfolio):
buyStock(stock["ticker"], toBuy * stTax * stock["targetPercent"], date, totalStocks, purchases, stockData)
else:
taxes = yearlyGains[0] * stTax + yearlyGains[1] * ltTax
if yearlyGains[0] < 0:
taxes = totalGains * ltTax
elif yearlyGains[1] < 0:
taxes = totalGains * stTax
#print("selling", taxes, yearlyGains)
for _,stock in enumerate(portfolio):
sellStock(stock["ticker"], taxes * stock["targetPercent"], date, totalStocks, purchases, stockData, value['yearlyGains'], fifo)
previousDate = date
totalValue = 0
for _,stock in enumerate(portfolio):
for _,purch in enumerate(purchases[stock["ticker"]]):
totalValue += stockData[stock["ticker"]][purch[0]] * purch[1]
value["equity"] = totalValue
return postAnalysis(value)
def percentageBasedReserves(stockData, portfolio, \
reserveTarget=.15, reserveTolerance = 0.03,\
reserveDrawDownTrigger=.15, reserveUpTrigger=0, reserveDailyGrowth=0.00008, \
reserveSteps=3, reservePercentage=0,\
startingBalance=100000, periodicDeposit=0, depositInterval=14,\
startDate=datetime.date(2005, 1, 28), endDate=datetime.date(2023, 2, 3)):
value = {'total':pd.Series(dtype="float64"), 'totalReturns':pd.Series(dtype="float64"), 'drawdown':pd.Series(dtype="float64"),\
'params':(portfolio, reserveTarget, reserveTolerance, reserveDrawDownTrigger, reserveDailyGrowth, reserveSteps, reservePercentage, startingBalance, startDate, endDate, periodicDeposit, depositInterval)}
value['total'].at[startDate] = startingBalance
nextInvestDate = startDate + datetime.timedelta(days=depositInterval)
rebalanceColumns = []
balances = {}
cumBal = {}
cum_max = {}
for _,stock in enumerate(portfolio):
balances[stock["ticker"]] = startingBalance * stock["targetPercent"]
cumBal[stock["ticker"]] = startingBalance * stock["targetPercent"]
cum_max[stock["ticker"]] = stock["targetPercent"]
rebalanceColumns.append(stock["ticker"])
balances["reserve"] = startingBalance * reserveTarget
reserveInfo = []
reserveDDTarget = reserveDrawDownTrigger
reserveStepsLeft = reserveSteps
rebalanceColumns.append("date")
value['rebalances'] = pd.DataFrame(columns=rebalanceColumns)
value['reserves'] = pd.DataFrame(columns=rebalanceColumns)
previousDate = startDate
for date,_ in stockData["spy"][startDate:endDate].items():
# Update the value and determine total value
balances["reserve"] = balances["reserve"] * (1 + reserveDailyGrowth)
totalValue = balances["reserve"]
for _,stock in enumerate(portfolio):
balances[stock["ticker"]] = balances[stock["ticker"]] * stockData[stock["ticker"]][date]
cumBal[stock["ticker"]] = cumBal[stock["ticker"]] * stockData[stock["ticker"]][date]
totalValue += balances[stock["ticker"]]
if cum_max[stock["ticker"]] < cumBal[stock["ticker"]]:
cum_max[stock["ticker"]] = cumBal[stock["ticker"]]
drawdown = 1 - cumBal[stock["ticker"]] / cum_max[stock["ticker"]]
#print(balances, cum_max[stock["ticker"]], cumBal[stock["ticker"]], drawdown, reserveDDTarget)
if drawdown > reserveDDTarget:
#trigger reserve investment
if reserveSteps > 0:
if reserveStepsLeft > 0:
#print ("inevst!------", date)
percentDivest = (reserveSteps - reserveStepsLeft + 1)/reserveSteps
delta = percentDivest * balances["reserve"]
balances[stock["ticker"]] += delta
balances["reserve"] -= delta
reserveInfo.append([cum_max[stock["ticker"]], delta])
# reserveInfo.append([cumBal[stock["ticker"]] * (1 + reserveDrawDownTrigger), delta])
reserveDDTarget += reserveDrawDownTrigger
reserveStepsLeft -= 1
else: # todo percentage
#print ("inevst!------", date)
delta = reservePercentage * balances["reserve"]
balances[stock["ticker"]] += delta
balances["reserve"] -= delta
reserveInfo.append([cumBal[stock["ticker"]] * (1 + reserveDrawDownTrigger), delta])
reserveDDTarget += reserveDrawDownTrigger
else:
for invest in list(reserveInfo):
if cumBal[stock["ticker"]] > invest[0]:
#print(invest, cumBal[stock["ticker"]])
#print ("divest!------", date)
delta = invest[1] * (1 + reserveDrawDownTrigger)
balances[stock["ticker"]] -= delta
balances["reserve"] += delta
reserveInfo.remove(invest)
reserveDDTarget -= reserveDrawDownTrigger
reserveStepsLeft += 1
value["total"].at[date] = totalValue
value["totalReturns"].at[date] = value["total"][date] / value["total"][previousDate] - 1
# See if we need to rebalance
rebalance = False
if len(reserveInfo) <= 0:
if balances["reserve"] / totalValue < reserveTarget - reserveTolerance:
rebalance = True
# Check for periodic investments
if (date - nextInvestDate).days >= 0:
nextInvestDate = nextInvestDate + datetime.timedelta(days=depositInterval)
for _,stock in enumerate(portfolio):
balances[stock["ticker"]] += periodicDeposit * stock["targetPercent"]
balances["reserve"] += periodicDeposit * reserveTarget
value["total"].at[date] += periodicDeposit
# Rebalance if needed
if rebalance:
#print ("rebalance!------", date)
for _,stock in enumerate(portfolio):
balances[stock["ticker"]] = totalValue * stock["targetPercent"]
balances["reserve"] = totalValue * reserveTarget
value["rebalances"].loc[len(value["rebalances"])] = date
# See if we dip into reserves
previousDate = date
return postAnalysis(value)
def postAnalysis(results):
results["cagr"] = cagr(results["total"])
results["drawdown"] = drawdown(results["total"])
results["drawdownMax"] = results["drawdown"].min()
results["dailyReturnsPctAvg"] = results["totalReturns"].mean()
results["dailyStddev"] = results["totalReturns"].std()
results["sharpe"] = (results["dailyReturnsPctAvg"] - 0.000087) / results["dailyStddev"] * math.sqrt(252)
return results
def slidingWindowAnalysis(fn, stockData,\
timeWindow=datetime.timedelta(3652.5), timeStep=datetime.timedelta(11),\
startDate=datetime.date(2005, 1, 28), endDate=datetime.date(2023, 2, 3),\
args=[]):
results = pd.Series(dtype="float64")
print("starting windowed analysis...", startDate, endDate, args)
start = time.perf_counter()
nextStart = startDate
lastWindowedStart = endDate - timeWindow
for date,_ in stockData["spy"][startDate:lastWindowedStart].items():
if (nextStart - date).days <= 0:
nextStart = date + timeStep
results[date] = fn(stockData, *args, startDate=date, endDate=date + timeWindow)
stop = time.perf_counter()
print("Completed windowed analysis:", (stop - start))
return results
def postAnalysisSlidingWindow(results, startDate=datetime.date(1992, 1, 2), endDate=datetime.date(2023, 2, 1)):
summaries = pd.DataFrame(columns=["total", "cagr", "drawdownMax", "dailyStddev", "sharpe"])
datedTotals = pd.Series(dtype="float64")
for date, result in results.items():
if date >= startDate and date <= endDate:
summaries.loc[len(summaries)] = [result["total"][-1], result["cagr"], result["drawdownMax"], result["dailyStddev"], result["sharpe"]]
datedTotals[result["total"].index[0]] = result["total"][-1]
condensed = {"totals":datedTotals}
for name, vals in summaries.items():
condensed[name + "_avg"] = vals.mean()
condensed[name + "_med"] = vals.median()
condensed[name + "_stddev"] = vals.std()
condensed[name + "_max"] = vals.max()
condensed[name + "_min"] = vals.min()
condensed["total_max_data"] = results[summaries.query('total == ' + str(condensed["total_max"])).index[0]]["total"]
condensed["total_min_data"] = results[summaries.query('total == ' + str(condensed["total_min"])).index[0]]["total"]
condensed["params"] = results[0]["params"]
condensed["name"] = results.iloc[0]["name"]
return condensed
def postAnalysisSlidingWindow2(results, startDate=datetime.date(1992, 1, 2), endDate=datetime.date(2023, 2, 1)):
summaries = pd.DataFrame(columns=["total", "cagr", "drawdownMax", "dailyStddev", "sharpe", "equity"])
datedTotals = pd.Series(dtype="float64")
for date, result in results.items():
if date >= startDate and date <= endDate:
summaries.loc[len(summaries)] = [result["total"][-1], result["cagr"], result["drawdownMax"], result["dailyStddev"], result["sharpe"], result["equity"]]
datedTotals[result["total"].index[0]] = result["total"][-1]
condensed = {"totals":datedTotals}
for name, vals in summaries.items():
condensed[name + "_avg"] = vals.mean()
condensed[name + "_med"] = vals.median()
condensed[name + "_stddev"] = vals.std()
condensed[name + "_max"] = vals.max()
condensed[name + "_min"] = vals.min()
condensed["total_max_data"] = results[summaries.query('total == ' + str(condensed["total_max"])).index[0]]["total"]
condensed["total_min_data"] = results[summaries.query('total == ' + str(condensed["total_min"])).index[0]]["total"]
condensed["params"] = results[0]["params"]
condensed["name"] = results.iloc[0]["name"]
return condensed