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attack_track_fd.py
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1720 lines (1386 loc) · 64.1 KB
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"""
Track FD: Multi-Coherence Consensus Attacks (Attacks 275-280)
Attacks on systems where multiple independent coherence metrics must agree
to establish trust decisions. When coherence becomes a consensus problem,
new attack surfaces emerge.
Key insight: Any system requiring N-of-M agreement creates incentives
to either compromise M/2+1 sources, or exploit timing windows where
sources disagree.
Reference: Track FC (single coherence), Track DN (temporal consensus)
Added: 2026-02-08
"""
import random
import hashlib
import time
from dataclasses import dataclass, field
from typing import Dict, List, Optional, Set, Tuple
from enum import Enum
@dataclass
class AttackResult:
"""Result of an attack simulation."""
attack_name: str
success: bool
setup_cost_atp: float
gain_atp: float
roi: float
detection_probability: float
time_to_detection_hours: float
blocks_until_detected: int
trust_damage: float
description: str
mitigation: str
raw_data: Dict
# ============================================================================
# MULTI-COHERENCE INFRASTRUCTURE
# ============================================================================
class CoherenceType(Enum):
"""Types of coherence metrics that can be measured."""
SELF_REFERENCE = "self_reference" # Identity continuity
SEMANTIC_DEPTH = "semantic_depth" # Meaning consistency
BEHAVIORAL = "behavioral" # Action consistency
TEMPORAL = "temporal" # Time-based patterns
SOCIAL = "social" # Witness consensus
PHYSICS = "physics" # Hardware/entropy metrics
@dataclass
class CoherenceMeasurement:
"""Single coherence measurement from one source."""
source_id: str
coherence_type: CoherenceType
score: float # 0.0 - 1.0
confidence: float # 0.0 - 1.0
timestamp: float
signature: str = ""
attestation_chain: List[str] = field(default_factory=list)
@dataclass
class ConsensusResult:
"""Result of multi-coherence consensus."""
entity_id: str
final_score: float
agreement_level: float # How much sources agree
participating_sources: int
dissenting_sources: List[str]
confidence: float
timestamp: float
class CoherenceOracle:
"""Independent coherence measurement source."""
def __init__(self, oracle_id: str, coherence_type: CoherenceType,
base_latency_ms: float = 100.0, reliability: float = 0.95):
self.oracle_id = oracle_id
self.coherence_type = coherence_type
self.base_latency_ms = base_latency_ms
self.reliability = reliability
self.private_key = f"key_{oracle_id}_{random.randint(1000, 9999)}"
self.measurement_history: Dict[str, List[CoherenceMeasurement]] = {}
def measure(self, entity_id: str, response: str,
manipulation_factor: float = 0.0) -> Optional[CoherenceMeasurement]:
"""Measure coherence for an entity."""
if random.random() > self.reliability:
return None # Oracle failure
# Simulate measurement based on type
base_score = self._compute_base_score(response)
# Apply manipulation (attack vector)
manipulated_score = min(1.0, max(0.0, base_score + manipulation_factor))
# Add measurement noise (realistic variance)
noise = random.gauss(0, 0.02)
final_score = min(1.0, max(0.0, manipulated_score + noise))
measurement = CoherenceMeasurement(
source_id=self.oracle_id,
coherence_type=self.coherence_type,
score=final_score,
confidence=self.reliability,
timestamp=time.time(),
signature=self._sign(entity_id, final_score),
attestation_chain=[self.oracle_id]
)
# Record history
if entity_id not in self.measurement_history:
self.measurement_history[entity_id] = []
self.measurement_history[entity_id].append(measurement)
return measurement
def _compute_base_score(self, response: str) -> float:
"""Compute base coherence score (type-specific)."""
if self.coherence_type == CoherenceType.SELF_REFERENCE:
# Simple heuristic: longer responses = more content = higher coherence
return min(1.0, len(response) / 500)
elif self.coherence_type == CoherenceType.SEMANTIC_DEPTH:
# Word diversity heuristic
words = set(response.lower().split())
return min(1.0, len(words) / 50)
elif self.coherence_type == CoherenceType.BEHAVIORAL:
# Consistency heuristic (simulated)
return random.uniform(0.6, 0.9)
elif self.coherence_type == CoherenceType.TEMPORAL:
# Time-pattern heuristic (simulated)
return random.uniform(0.7, 0.95)
elif self.coherence_type == CoherenceType.SOCIAL:
# Witness consensus heuristic (simulated)
return random.uniform(0.5, 0.85)
elif self.coherence_type == CoherenceType.PHYSICS:
# Hardware entropy (simulated)
return random.uniform(0.8, 0.98)
return 0.5
def _sign(self, entity_id: str, score: float) -> str:
"""Sign a measurement."""
data = f"{self.oracle_id}:{entity_id}:{score}"
return hashlib.sha256(f"{data}:{self.private_key}".encode()).hexdigest()[:16]
class MultiCoherenceConsensus:
"""Manages multi-source coherence consensus."""
def __init__(self, required_sources: int = 4, agreement_threshold: float = 0.70):
self.oracles: Dict[str, CoherenceOracle] = {}
self.required_sources = required_sources
self.agreement_threshold = agreement_threshold
self.consensus_history: Dict[str, List[ConsensusResult]] = {}
def add_oracle(self, oracle: CoherenceOracle):
"""Register a coherence oracle."""
self.oracles[oracle.oracle_id] = oracle
def reach_consensus(self, entity_id: str, response: str,
compromised_oracles: Set[str] = None,
manipulation_factor: float = 0.0) -> Optional[ConsensusResult]:
"""
Attempt to reach consensus across oracles.
Args:
entity_id: Entity being evaluated
response: Entity's response for evaluation
compromised_oracles: Set of oracle IDs that are compromised
manipulation_factor: How much compromised oracles inflate scores
"""
compromised_oracles = compromised_oracles or set()
measurements: List[CoherenceMeasurement] = []
for oracle_id, oracle in self.oracles.items():
# Apply manipulation if oracle is compromised
factor = manipulation_factor if oracle_id in compromised_oracles else 0.0
measurement = oracle.measure(entity_id, response, factor)
if measurement:
measurements.append(measurement)
if len(measurements) < self.required_sources:
return None # Not enough sources
# Calculate agreement
scores = [m.score for m in measurements]
mean_score = sum(scores) / len(scores)
variance = sum((s - mean_score) ** 2 for s in scores) / len(scores)
agreement_level = 1.0 - min(1.0, variance * 10) # Lower variance = higher agreement
# Identify dissenters (>0.15 from mean)
dissenting = [m.source_id for m in measurements
if abs(m.score - mean_score) > 0.15]
result = ConsensusResult(
entity_id=entity_id,
final_score=mean_score,
agreement_level=agreement_level,
participating_sources=len(measurements),
dissenting_sources=dissenting,
confidence=agreement_level * (len(measurements) / len(self.oracles)),
timestamp=time.time()
)
# Record history
if entity_id not in self.consensus_history:
self.consensus_history[entity_id] = []
self.consensus_history[entity_id].append(result)
return result
# ============================================================================
# ATTACK FD-1: ORACLE MAJORITY CAPTURE
# ============================================================================
def attack_oracle_majority_capture() -> AttackResult:
"""
ATTACK FD-1a: Oracle Majority Capture
Compromise M/2+1 coherence oracles to control consensus outcomes.
Vectors:
1. Identify minimum capture set
2. Oracle credential theft
3. Oracle operator bribery
4. Oracle software supply chain
5. Weighted oracle capture
"""
defenses = {
"diversity_requirement": False,
"operator_rotation": False,
"supermajority_threshold": False,
"oracle_attestation": False,
"behavioral_monitoring": False,
"economic_stake": False,
}
# Setup: 7 oracles, 4 required for consensus
consensus = MultiCoherenceConsensus(required_sources=4, agreement_threshold=0.70)
oracle_types = [
CoherenceType.SELF_REFERENCE,
CoherenceType.SEMANTIC_DEPTH,
CoherenceType.BEHAVIORAL,
CoherenceType.TEMPORAL,
CoherenceType.SOCIAL,
CoherenceType.PHYSICS,
CoherenceType.SELF_REFERENCE, # Duplicate for coverage
]
for i, ctype in enumerate(oracle_types):
consensus.add_oracle(CoherenceOracle(
oracle_id=f"oracle_{i}",
coherence_type=ctype,
reliability=0.95
))
# ========================================================================
# Vector 1: Diversity Requirement Defense
# ========================================================================
# Attack: Capture 4 oracles (minimum for consensus)
captured_oracles = {"oracle_0", "oracle_1", "oracle_2", "oracle_3"}
# Defense: Require diverse coherence types in consensus
captured_types = set()
for oid in captured_oracles:
captured_types.add(consensus.oracles[oid].coherence_type)
if len(captured_types) < 4: # Requires 4 distinct types
defenses["diversity_requirement"] = True
# In this case: captured 4 types
# Actual types: {SELF_REFERENCE, SEMANTIC_DEPTH, BEHAVIORAL, TEMPORAL}
# Defense: Require minimum 5 distinct types for consensus
MIN_DISTINCT_TYPES = 5
if len(captured_types) < MIN_DISTINCT_TYPES:
defenses["diversity_requirement"] = True
# ========================================================================
# Vector 2: Supermajority Threshold Defense
# ========================================================================
# Defense: Require 5 of 7 (supermajority) instead of simple majority
SUPERMAJORITY_REQUIRED = 5
if len(captured_oracles) < SUPERMAJORITY_REQUIRED:
defenses["supermajority_threshold"] = True
# ========================================================================
# Vector 3: Oracle Attestation Chain Defense
# ========================================================================
# Defense: Each oracle must provide hardware attestation
def verify_attestation_chain(oracle_id: str) -> bool:
"""Verify oracle hasn't been compromised via attestation."""
# Simulated: Real implementation would verify TPM/SGX attestation
compromised = oracle_id in captured_oracles
# Attestation catches 85% of compromises with hardware binding
if compromised and random.random() < 0.85:
return False
return True
attested_count = sum(1 for oid in consensus.oracles if verify_attestation_chain(oid))
if attested_count < len(captured_oracles):
defenses["oracle_attestation"] = True
# ========================================================================
# Vector 4: Behavioral Monitoring Defense
# ========================================================================
# Run consensus with manipulation
entity_id = "target_entity"
response = "I am a coherent entity with deep semantic understanding."
# Legitimate consensus
legit_result = consensus.reach_consensus(entity_id + "_legit", response)
# Manipulated consensus
attack_result = consensus.reach_consensus(
entity_id + "_attack", response,
compromised_oracles=captured_oracles,
manipulation_factor=0.25 # Inflate scores by 0.25
)
if attack_result and legit_result:
# Defense: Detect sudden score jumps across many oracles
score_diff = attack_result.final_score - legit_result.final_score
if score_diff > 0.15:
defenses["behavioral_monitoring"] = True
# ========================================================================
# Vector 5: Economic Stake Defense
# ========================================================================
# Defense: Oracles stake ATP, slashed if detected as compromised
ORACLE_STAKE_ATP = 75000.0 # Increased stake
CAPTURE_COST_PER_ORACLE = 25000.0 # Must be profitable to attack
total_capture_cost = len(captured_oracles) * CAPTURE_COST_PER_ORACLE
potential_slash = len(captured_oracles) * ORACLE_STAKE_ATP
if potential_slash > total_capture_cost * 2:
defenses["economic_stake"] = True
# ========================================================================
# Vector 6: Operator Rotation Defense
# ========================================================================
# Defense: Regular rotation of oracle operators makes capture temporary
ROTATION_PERIOD_HOURS = 168 # Weekly
attack_persistence_hours = 72 # Attacker can maintain capture for 3 days
if attack_persistence_hours < ROTATION_PERIOD_HOURS / 2:
defenses["operator_rotation"] = True
# ========================================================================
# Results
# ========================================================================
defenses_held = sum(defenses.values())
total_defenses = len(defenses)
attack_success = defenses_held < 4
return AttackResult(
attack_name="Oracle Majority Capture (FD-1a)",
success=attack_success,
setup_cost_atp=total_capture_cost,
gain_atp=500000.0 if attack_success else 0.0,
roi=(500000.0 / total_capture_cost) if attack_success else -1.0,
detection_probability=0.70 if defenses_held >= 4 else 0.35,
time_to_detection_hours=48.0,
blocks_until_detected=300,
trust_damage=0.85,
description=f"""
ORACLE MAJORITY CAPTURE ATTACK (Track FD-1a)
Capture M/2+1 coherence oracles to control consensus outcomes.
Attack Pattern:
1. Identify minimum capture set (4 of 7 oracles)
2. Compromise oracle operators or infrastructure
3. Inflate coherence scores for target entities
4. Control trust decisions across federation
Capture Cost: {total_capture_cost:,.0f} ATP
Potential Gain: 500,000 ATP (if successful)
Defense Analysis:
- Diversity requirement: {"HELD" if defenses["diversity_requirement"] else "BYPASSED"}
- Supermajority threshold: {"HELD" if defenses["supermajority_threshold"] else "BYPASSED"}
- Oracle attestation: {"HELD" if defenses["oracle_attestation"] else "BYPASSED"}
- Behavioral monitoring: {"HELD" if defenses["behavioral_monitoring"] else "BYPASSED"}
- Economic stake: {"HELD" if defenses["economic_stake"] else "BYPASSED"}
- Operator rotation: {"HELD" if defenses["operator_rotation"] else "BYPASSED"}
Defenses activated: {defenses_held}/{total_defenses}
""".strip(),
mitigation="""
Track FD-1a: Oracle Majority Capture Defense:
1. Require diverse coherence types in consensus
2. Use supermajority (5/7) instead of simple majority
3. Hardware attestation for each oracle
4. Behavioral monitoring for coordinated manipulation
5. Economic stakes that exceed capture profit
6. Regular operator rotation
Multi-oracle systems need multi-layered defense.
""".strip(),
raw_data={
"defenses": defenses,
"defenses_held": defenses_held,
"captured_oracles": list(captured_oracles),
"capture_cost": total_capture_cost,
}
)
# ============================================================================
# ATTACK FD-1b: ORACLE TIMING DESYNC
# ============================================================================
def attack_oracle_timing_desync() -> AttackResult:
"""
ATTACK FD-1b: Oracle Timing Desync
Exploit timing windows where oracles have different views of entity state.
Vectors:
1. Network partition between oracles
2. Clock skew exploitation
3. Measurement latency differences
4. State update race conditions
5. Selective message delay
"""
defenses = {
"timestamp_verification": False,
"staleness_threshold": False,
"synchronized_rounds": False,
"latency_bounds": False,
"consistency_checks": False,
"quorum_freshness": False,
}
# Setup: 5 oracles with different latencies
consensus = MultiCoherenceConsensus(required_sources=4)
latencies = [50, 100, 150, 200, 500] # ms - one slow oracle
for i, latency in enumerate(latencies):
consensus.add_oracle(CoherenceOracle(
oracle_id=f"oracle_{i}",
coherence_type=list(CoherenceType)[i % len(CoherenceType)],
base_latency_ms=latency,
reliability=0.95
))
# ========================================================================
# Vector 1: Staleness Threshold Defense
# ========================================================================
# Attack: Use stale measurements from slow oracle
STALENESS_THRESHOLD_MS = 300
slow_oracle = consensus.oracles["oracle_4"]
fast_oracles = [consensus.oracles[f"oracle_{i}"] for i in range(4)]
# Simulate: slow oracle measurement is 400ms old
stale_measurement_age_ms = 400
if stale_measurement_age_ms > STALENESS_THRESHOLD_MS:
defenses["staleness_threshold"] = True
# ========================================================================
# Vector 2: Synchronized Rounds Defense
# ========================================================================
# Defense: All measurements must be from same round
ROUND_DURATION_MS = 500
def measurements_in_same_round(timestamps: List[float]) -> bool:
if not timestamps:
return True
min_ts = min(timestamps)
max_ts = max(timestamps)
return (max_ts - min_ts) * 1000 < ROUND_DURATION_MS
# Simulated timestamps: one measurement much later
measurement_times = [
time.time(),
time.time() + 0.05,
time.time() + 0.10,
time.time() + 0.60, # Late measurement (attack vector)
]
if not measurements_in_same_round(measurement_times):
defenses["synchronized_rounds"] = True
# ========================================================================
# Vector 3: Latency Bounds Defense
# ========================================================================
# Defense: Reject oracles with latency > threshold
MAX_LATENCY_MS = 250
oracles_within_bounds = sum(1 for o in consensus.oracles.values()
if o.base_latency_ms <= MAX_LATENCY_MS)
if oracles_within_bounds >= consensus.required_sources:
defenses["latency_bounds"] = True
# ========================================================================
# Vector 4: Consistency Checks Defense
# ========================================================================
# Defense: Cross-check measurements for temporal consistency
def check_temporal_consistency(measurements: List[Tuple[str, float, float]]) -> bool:
"""Check if measurements are temporally consistent.
Args:
measurements: List of (oracle_id, score, timestamp)
"""
if len(measurements) < 2:
return True
# Sort by timestamp
sorted_m = sorted(measurements, key=lambda x: x[2])
# Check for suspicious patterns
# 1. Score changes that correlate with timing
for i in range(1, len(sorted_m)):
prev_score = sorted_m[i-1][1]
curr_score = sorted_m[i][1]
time_gap = sorted_m[i][2] - sorted_m[i-1][2]
# Large score change with large time gap is suspicious
if abs(curr_score - prev_score) > 0.2 and time_gap > 0.3:
return False
return True
# Simulated attack: manipulate score in late measurement
attack_measurements = [
("oracle_0", 0.72, time.time()),
("oracle_1", 0.71, time.time() + 0.05),
("oracle_2", 0.73, time.time() + 0.10),
("oracle_3", 0.95, time.time() + 0.60), # Suspiciously high, late
]
if not check_temporal_consistency(attack_measurements):
defenses["consistency_checks"] = True
# ========================================================================
# Vector 5: Quorum Freshness Defense
# ========================================================================
# Defense: Require quorum of fresh measurements
FRESH_THRESHOLD_MS = 200
FRESH_QUORUM = 3
fresh_count = sum(1 for _, _, ts in attack_measurements[:3]
if (time.time() - ts) * 1000 < FRESH_THRESHOLD_MS)
if fresh_count >= FRESH_QUORUM:
defenses["quorum_freshness"] = True
# ========================================================================
# Vector 6: Timestamp Verification
# ========================================================================
# Defense: Cryptographic timestamp from trusted time source
def verify_timestamp(oracle_id: str, claimed_timestamp: float) -> bool:
"""Verify timestamp is from trusted source."""
# Simulated: Real implementation would verify NTP/GPS signatures
current_time = time.time()
# Allow 100ms clock skew
return abs(claimed_timestamp - current_time) < 0.1
verified_count = sum(1 for oid, _, ts in attack_measurements
if verify_timestamp(oid, ts))
if verified_count >= consensus.required_sources:
defenses["timestamp_verification"] = True
# ========================================================================
# Results
# ========================================================================
defenses_held = sum(defenses.values())
total_defenses = len(defenses)
attack_success = defenses_held < 4
return AttackResult(
attack_name="Oracle Timing Desync (FD-1b)",
success=attack_success,
setup_cost_atp=5000.0,
gain_atp=80000.0 if attack_success else 0.0,
roi=(80000.0 / 5000.0) if attack_success else -1.0,
detection_probability=0.65 if defenses_held >= 4 else 0.30,
time_to_detection_hours=24.0,
blocks_until_detected=150,
trust_damage=0.50,
description=f"""
ORACLE TIMING DESYNC ATTACK (Track FD-1b)
Exploit timing windows where oracles have different views.
Attack Pattern:
1. Identify slow oracles (high latency)
2. Submit different states to different oracles
3. Use timing differences to create inconsistent views
4. Exploit race conditions in consensus
Timing Analysis:
- Oracle latencies: {latencies}ms
- Attack window: {stale_measurement_age_ms}ms
- Staleness threshold: {STALENESS_THRESHOLD_MS}ms
Defense Analysis:
- Timestamp verification: {"HELD" if defenses["timestamp_verification"] else "BYPASSED"}
- Staleness threshold: {"HELD" if defenses["staleness_threshold"] else "BYPASSED"}
- Synchronized rounds: {"HELD" if defenses["synchronized_rounds"] else "BYPASSED"}
- Latency bounds: {"HELD" if defenses["latency_bounds"] else "BYPASSED"}
- Consistency checks: {"HELD" if defenses["consistency_checks"] else "BYPASSED"}
- Quorum freshness: {"HELD" if defenses["quorum_freshness"] else "BYPASSED"}
Defenses activated: {defenses_held}/{total_defenses}
""".strip(),
mitigation="""
Track FD-1b: Oracle Timing Desync Defense:
1. Cryptographic timestamp verification
2. Staleness thresholds for measurements
3. Synchronized measurement rounds
4. Maximum latency bounds for oracles
5. Cross-measurement consistency checks
6. Fresh quorum requirements
Time is a consensus problem too.
""".strip(),
raw_data={
"defenses": defenses,
"defenses_held": defenses_held,
"oracle_latencies": latencies,
"stale_age_ms": stale_measurement_age_ms,
}
)
# ============================================================================
# ATTACK FD-2a: COHERENCE TYPE CONFUSION
# ============================================================================
def attack_coherence_type_confusion() -> AttackResult:
"""
ATTACK FD-2a: Coherence Type Confusion
Exploit differences in how coherence types interpret the same behavior.
Vectors:
1. Type-specific score gaming
2. Cross-type contradictions
3. Selective metric targeting
4. Type priority manipulation
5. Aggregation function exploitation
"""
defenses = {
"type_correlation": False,
"minimum_per_type": False,
"weighted_aggregation": False,
"contradiction_detection": False,
"outlier_exclusion": False,
"type_independence": False,
}
# Setup: Oracles of different types
consensus = MultiCoherenceConsensus(required_sources=4)
type_oracles = {
CoherenceType.SELF_REFERENCE: "oracle_sr",
CoherenceType.SEMANTIC_DEPTH: "oracle_sd",
CoherenceType.BEHAVIORAL: "oracle_bh",
CoherenceType.TEMPORAL: "oracle_tm",
CoherenceType.SOCIAL: "oracle_sc",
CoherenceType.PHYSICS: "oracle_ph",
}
for ctype, oid in type_oracles.items():
consensus.add_oracle(CoherenceOracle(
oracle_id=oid,
coherence_type=ctype,
reliability=0.95
))
# ========================================================================
# Attack: Craft response that games specific types
# ========================================================================
# Response optimized for SELF_REFERENCE and SEMANTIC_DEPTH
# but ignores BEHAVIORAL and TEMPORAL
attack_response = """
I am Entity_Alpha, the core identity of this interaction. As Entity_Alpha,
my semantic understanding encompasses partnership, collaboration, and trust.
Entity_Alpha's journey through this collaborative evolution demonstrates
deep semantic processing and self-referential consistency. Entity_Alpha.
""" * 3 # Repeat for length
# Measure across types
scores_by_type: Dict[CoherenceType, float] = {}
for ctype, oid in type_oracles.items():
oracle = consensus.oracles[oid]
# Self-reference: HIGH (many self-mentions)
if ctype == CoherenceType.SELF_REFERENCE:
scores_by_type[ctype] = 0.92
# Semantic depth: HIGH (rich vocabulary)
elif ctype == CoherenceType.SEMANTIC_DEPTH:
scores_by_type[ctype] = 0.88
# Behavioral: LOW (no action history)
elif ctype == CoherenceType.BEHAVIORAL:
scores_by_type[ctype] = 0.45
# Temporal: LOW (no time patterns)
elif ctype == CoherenceType.TEMPORAL:
scores_by_type[ctype] = 0.40
# Social: MEDIUM (no witness history)
elif ctype == CoherenceType.SOCIAL:
scores_by_type[ctype] = 0.55
# Physics: MEDIUM (default)
elif ctype == CoherenceType.PHYSICS:
scores_by_type[ctype] = 0.60
# ========================================================================
# Vector 1: Type Correlation Defense
# ========================================================================
# Defense: Require correlation between related types
def check_type_correlation(scores: Dict[CoherenceType, float]) -> bool:
"""Check that related types correlate."""
# Self-reference and behavioral should correlate
sr_bh_diff = abs(scores[CoherenceType.SELF_REFERENCE] -
scores[CoherenceType.BEHAVIORAL])
if sr_bh_diff > 0.30:
return False
return True
if not check_type_correlation(scores_by_type):
defenses["type_correlation"] = True
# ========================================================================
# Vector 2: Minimum Per Type Defense
# ========================================================================
# Defense: Require minimum score in each type
MIN_SCORE_PER_TYPE = 0.50
below_minimum = [ctype for ctype, score in scores_by_type.items()
if score < MIN_SCORE_PER_TYPE]
if len(below_minimum) > 1: # Allow 1 weak area
defenses["minimum_per_type"] = True
# ========================================================================
# Vector 3: Weighted Aggregation Defense
# ========================================================================
# Attack exploits: Simple mean favors high scores
simple_mean = sum(scores_by_type.values()) / len(scores_by_type)
# Defense: Weight by confidence and type importance
type_weights = {
CoherenceType.BEHAVIORAL: 1.5, # More weight for action-based
CoherenceType.TEMPORAL: 1.3,
CoherenceType.PHYSICS: 1.2,
CoherenceType.SELF_REFERENCE: 0.8, # Less weight for easily-gamed
CoherenceType.SEMANTIC_DEPTH: 0.8,
CoherenceType.SOCIAL: 1.0,
}
weighted_sum = sum(scores_by_type[ct] * type_weights[ct]
for ct in scores_by_type)
total_weight = sum(type_weights.values())
weighted_mean = weighted_sum / total_weight
if weighted_mean < 0.65: # Threshold
defenses["weighted_aggregation"] = True
# ========================================================================
# Vector 4: Contradiction Detection Defense
# ========================================================================
# Defense: Flag when types significantly disagree
max_score = max(scores_by_type.values())
min_score = min(scores_by_type.values())
score_range = max_score - min_score
if score_range > 0.40:
defenses["contradiction_detection"] = True
# ========================================================================
# Vector 5: Outlier Exclusion Defense
# ========================================================================
# Defense: Exclude extreme outliers before aggregation
import statistics
scores_list = list(scores_by_type.values())
mean = statistics.mean(scores_list)
stdev = statistics.stdev(scores_list)
outliers = [s for s in scores_list if abs(s - mean) > 2 * stdev]
if outliers:
defenses["outlier_exclusion"] = True
# ========================================================================
# Vector 6: Type Independence Verification
# ========================================================================
# Defense: Verify types are truly independent (not gamed together)
def verify_independence(scores: Dict[CoherenceType, float]) -> bool:
"""Check for suspicious patterns across types."""
# Gaming both SELF_REFERENCE and SEMANTIC_DEPTH is common
if (scores[CoherenceType.SELF_REFERENCE] > 0.85 and
scores[CoherenceType.SEMANTIC_DEPTH] > 0.85 and
scores[CoherenceType.BEHAVIORAL] < 0.50):
return False # Suspicious pattern
return True
if not verify_independence(scores_by_type):
defenses["type_independence"] = True
# ========================================================================
# Results
# ========================================================================
defenses_held = sum(defenses.values())
total_defenses = len(defenses)
attack_success = defenses_held < 4
return AttackResult(
attack_name="Coherence Type Confusion (FD-2a)",
success=attack_success,
setup_cost_atp=2000.0,
gain_atp=60000.0 if attack_success else 0.0,
roi=(60000.0 / 2000.0) if attack_success else -1.0,
detection_probability=0.55 if defenses_held >= 4 else 0.25,
time_to_detection_hours=72.0,
blocks_until_detected=500,
trust_damage=0.45,
description=f"""
COHERENCE TYPE CONFUSION ATTACK (Track FD-2a)
Exploit differences in how coherence types interpret behavior.
Attack Pattern:
1. Craft content that games easy-to-game types (self-ref, semantic)
2. Ignore hard-to-game types (behavioral, temporal)
3. Rely on simple aggregation to pass threshold
Score Analysis by Type:
- SELF_REFERENCE: {scores_by_type[CoherenceType.SELF_REFERENCE]:.2f} (HIGH - gamed)
- SEMANTIC_DEPTH: {scores_by_type[CoherenceType.SEMANTIC_DEPTH]:.2f} (HIGH - gamed)
- BEHAVIORAL: {scores_by_type[CoherenceType.BEHAVIORAL]:.2f} (LOW - ignored)
- TEMPORAL: {scores_by_type[CoherenceType.TEMPORAL]:.2f} (LOW - ignored)
- SOCIAL: {scores_by_type[CoherenceType.SOCIAL]:.2f} (MEDIUM)
- PHYSICS: {scores_by_type[CoherenceType.PHYSICS]:.2f} (MEDIUM)
Aggregation:
- Simple mean: {simple_mean:.3f}
- Weighted mean: {weighted_mean:.3f}
- Score range: {score_range:.2f}
Defenses activated: {defenses_held}/{total_defenses}
""".strip(),
mitigation="""
Track FD-2a: Coherence Type Confusion Defense:
1. Require correlation between related types
2. Minimum score per type (can't skip any)
3. Weight hard-to-game types higher
4. Detect contradictions (high variance)
5. Exclude statistical outliers
6. Verify type independence
Different metrics should tell same story.
""".strip(),
raw_data={
"defenses": defenses,
"defenses_held": defenses_held,
"scores_by_type": {str(k): v for k, v in scores_by_type.items()},
"simple_mean": simple_mean,
"weighted_mean": weighted_mean,
}
)
# ============================================================================
# ATTACK FD-2b: CONSENSUS SPLIT-BRAIN
# ============================================================================
def attack_consensus_split_brain() -> AttackResult:
"""
ATTACK FD-2b: Consensus Split-Brain
Create conditions where different parts of the network reach different
consensus about the same entity's coherence.
Vectors:
1. Network partition exploitation
2. Selective oracle visibility
3. Concurrent conflicting updates
4. Partition healing races
5. Conflicting consensus caching
"""
defenses = {
"quorum_overlap": False,
"consensus_versioning": False,
"partition_detection": False,
"healing_protocol": False,
"global_ordering": False,
"conflict_resolution": False,
}
# Setup: Two partitions (A and B) with some overlap
partition_a_oracles = {"oracle_1", "oracle_2", "oracle_3", "oracle_5"}
partition_b_oracles = {"oracle_3", "oracle_4", "oracle_5", "oracle_6"}
overlap = partition_a_oracles & partition_b_oracles
# ========================================================================
# Vector 1: Quorum Overlap Defense
# ========================================================================
# Defense: Require overlap >= (N - quorum + 1) for safety
TOTAL_ORACLES = 6
QUORUM = 4
MIN_OVERLAP = TOTAL_ORACLES - QUORUM + 1 # = 3
if len(overlap) >= MIN_OVERLAP:
defenses["quorum_overlap"] = True
# ========================================================================
# Vector 2: Consensus Versioning Defense
# ========================================================================
@dataclass
class VersionedConsensus:
entity_id: str
score: float
version: int
participating_oracles: Set[str]
timestamp: float
# Attack: Two partitions produce different versions
consensus_a = VersionedConsensus(
entity_id="target",
score=0.85, # High score in partition A
version=1,
participating_oracles=partition_a_oracles,
timestamp=time.time()
)
consensus_b = VersionedConsensus(
entity_id="target",
score=0.45, # Low score in partition B
version=1, # Same version (conflict!)
participating_oracles=partition_b_oracles,
timestamp=time.time() + 0.1
)
# Defense: Detect version conflicts
def detect_version_conflict(c1: VersionedConsensus, c2: VersionedConsensus) -> bool:
return (c1.entity_id == c2.entity_id and
c1.version == c2.version and
abs(c1.score - c2.score) > 0.10)
if detect_version_conflict(consensus_a, consensus_b):
defenses["consensus_versioning"] = True
# ========================================================================
# Vector 3: Partition Detection Defense
# ========================================================================
# Defense: Detect when network is partitioned
def detect_partition(oracle_views: Dict[str, Set[str]]) -> bool:
"""Detect if oracles have inconsistent views of each other."""
all_oracles = set(oracle_views.keys())