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Settings-estate leftovers: heal the keystone PR, expand the predicates, evolve the sensors #1898

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@4444J99

Take the 5 leftovers of the 2026-08-06 settings-estate repair to full heal (un-block + merge PR #1896, the keystone homing the install lever and plansDirectory), expand (plansDirectory parity predicate; merged-advanced branch owner-route), and evolve (install-state beat sensor; cancelled-vs-failed merge-policy classification).

Plan artifact: docs/plans/2026-08-06-settings-estate-leftovers.md (opened by scripts/session-plan.py).

This issue is the tracked owner of the work. The plan's PR: line is stamped by scripts/session-plan.py close when the implementing PR lands; scripts/check-session-phase.py is the predicate that holds the chain together.

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