Following the first draft of the paper, it became clear that the story would be strengthened by including two further simple linear regressions into the model to report that (a) the size of the breeding population did not change significantly between 2004 and 2021; and (b) the annual productivity did not change significantly between 2004 and 2021.
Including these in the model would allow for error propagation and a simpler reporting of results of trend parameter estimates with 95% credible intervals.
Following the first draft of the paper, it became clear that the story would be strengthened by including two further simple linear regressions into the model to report that (a) the size of the breeding population did not change significantly between 2004 and 2021; and (b) the annual productivity did not change significantly between 2004 and 2021.
Including these in the model would allow for error propagation and a simpler reporting of results of trend parameter estimates with 95% credible intervals.