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TinyViT Models for Cyclone Tracking?

This repository explores whether Tiny Vision Transformers (TinyViT) can learn complex geophysical behaviors—specifically tropical cyclone detection and tracking—using reanalysis and best-track data.

Overview

We combine IBTrACS storm-track records with ERA5 atmospheric fields to create a supervised dataset for cyclone-centered learning. A pretrained TinyViT model is then finetuned for spatiotemporal pattern recognition relevant to cyclone identification, intensity estimation, and trajectory prediction.

Overview

Project Phases

  • Download IBTrACS — Retrieve global historical cyclone best-track metadata from NOAA for ground-truth labels.
  • Download ERA5 — Extract atmospheric reanalysis fields needed for cyclone-related predictors (e.g., winds, pressure, humidity).
  • Preprocess Datasets — Align grids, synchronize timestamps, crop storm-centric windows, and generate training/validation samples.
  • Download TinyViT — Pull lightweight pretrained TinyViT checkpoints for efficient geophysical image modeling.
  • Finetune TinyViT — Train the model on cyclone-labeled samples to learn storm signatures and motion patterns.
  • General Evaluation — Assess model performance on broad meteorological feature recognition tasks.
  • Cyclone-Specific Eval — Measure skill in detecting storms, estimating intensity, and predicting track displacement.

Goals

  • Evaluate whether compact transformer models can learn complex climate dynamics.
  • Provide a reproducible pipeline for cyclone-centric machine learning.
  • Benchmark TinyViT in a domain traditionally dominated by CNNs and physical models.
  • Create end-to-end provenance pipeline

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