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A Scoring System Example for Evaluating the Pareto Frontier of Small Language Models via "single shot compile" python to Rust

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single-shot-eval

single-shot-eval

SLM Pareto Frontier Evaluation Framework - OFFLINE-FIRST evaluation using Batuta sovereign stack.

CI License: MIT Rust


Prove that small models can beat frontier models on domain-specific tasks at 1/100th the cost. Part of the PAIML Stack.

Core Thesis

A 100M-parameter SLM, when properly distilled using Depyler's single-shot compilation insights, can match or exceed frontier model performance on domain-specific tasks while reducing inference cost by 100-1000x.

Key insight: 1% worse accuracy but 100x smaller and FREE.

Research Basis

Based on Princeton "AI Agents That Matter" (2024) methodology:

  • 5 runs minimum with 95% CI using Student's t-distribution
  • Convex Pareto frontiers (probability-weighted combinations)
  • Dollar costs, not proxy metrics
  • Ground truth via compilation + test execution (SWE-bench style)

Architecture

Python Source (reprorusted-python-cli)
       |
Model Inference (SLM .apr | SaaS baselines)
       |
Rust Output
       |
Ground Truth Verification (cargo build && cargo test)
       |
Metrics (pass@1, cost, latency)
       |
Pareto Frontier Analysis
       |
Report (Princeton-compliant: 5 runs, 95% CI)

Requirements

Hardware

  • CPU: Any x86_64 or ARM64 processor
  • RAM: Minimum 4GB (8GB recommended for large corpora)
  • Disk: ~100MB for build artifacts

Software

  • Rust: 1.75+ (MSRV specified in Cargo.toml)
  • OS: Linux (tested on Ubuntu 22.04), macOS, Windows
  • Optional: claude CLI, gemini CLI for baseline comparisons

Installation

# Build from source
cargo build --release

# Install globally
cargo install --path .

Usage

CLI

Run Evaluation Suite

# Evaluate .apr models against task configurations
single-shot-eval evaluate \
  --tasks "tasks/*.yaml" \
  --models "models/*.apr" \
  --corpus ./python-corpus \
  --runs 5 \
  --output results.json

# With baseline comparisons (requires claude/gemini CLI tools)
single-shot-eval evaluate \
  --tasks tasks/transpile.yaml \
  --models models/slm-100m.apr \
  --baselines claude,gemini

Verify Rust Code

# Check if generated Rust compiles
single-shot-eval verify --source output.rs

# With test verification
single-shot-eval verify --source output.rs --tests tests.rs

Corpus Statistics

# Show Python corpus statistics
single-shot-eval corpus-stats --path ./reprorusted-python-cli

Benchmark Corpus

# Analyze Python corpus with Py2Rs 10-level classification
single-shot-eval benchmark --corpus ./experiments/python-corpus/

# With detailed per-example breakdown
single-shot-eval benchmark --corpus ./experiments/python-corpus/ --verbose

Output shows level distribution, difficulty breakdown, and visual coverage:

┌────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│ Py2Rs 10-Level Benchmark Analysis                              │
├────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│ Corpus:   50 examples                                          │
└────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘

Level Distribution
──────────────────
L3  (Functions)      [████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░]  40% (20 examples)
L5  (ControlFlow)    [███░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░]  30% (15 examples)
...

Visual Summary (● = has examples, ○ = empty)
Levels 1-10: ○○●●●●○○○○

Run Examples

# Pareto frontier analysis demo
cargo run --example demo --release

# Py2Rs benchmark classification demo
cargo run --example benchmark --release

# Download-Convert-Test pipeline demo (Toyota Way)
cargo run --example download_convert_test --release

Demo Output:

=== Single-Shot Eval Demo ===

📊 Computing Pareto Frontier...

Pareto-optimal models:
  ◆ claude-haiku (acc: 95.0%, cost: $0.2500, lat: 800ms)
  ◆ slm-100m (acc: 92.0%, cost: $0.0001, lat: 15ms)

📈 Trade-off Analysis...
  slm-100m trade-off:
    Accuracy gap: 3.0%
    Cost ratio: 2500x cheaper
    Value score: 129333.3x

✅ Demo complete!

Benchmark Output:

=== Py2Rs 10-Level Benchmark Demo ===

Py2Rs Benchmark Levels:
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
  L 1 Hello                [Trivial] weight: 1.0
  L 2 Variables            [Trivial] weight: 1.5
  L 3 Functions            [Easy] weight: 2.0
  ...
  L10 Metaprogramming      [Expert] weight: 20.0

Example Classification:
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
  hello           Difficulty: Trivial
  fibonacci       Difficulty: Easy
  shape           Difficulty: Hard
  fetch           Difficulty: Expert

✅ Benchmark demo complete!

Generate Reports

# Generate Pareto frontier report
single-shot-eval report --input ./results --output report.md

Library

use single_shot_eval::{
    TaskLoader, TaskRunner, CompilerVerifier,
    analyze_pareto, ReportBuilder, EvalResult,
};
use std::time::Duration;

// Load task configurations
let loader = TaskLoader::load_glob("tasks/*.yaml")?;

// Configure runner
let runner = TaskRunner::new();

// Run evaluation
for task in loader.iter() {
    let result = runner.run_evaluation(task, "my-model")?;
    println!("Accuracy: {:.2}%", result.accuracy * 100.0);
}

// Pareto analysis
let results: Vec<EvalResult> = vec![/* ... */];
let analysis = analyze_pareto(&results);
println!("Frontier models: {:?}", analysis.frontier_models);

// Compiler verification
let verifier = CompilerVerifier::new();
let result = verifier.verify(rust_code, Some(test_code))?;
assert!(result.passes());

// Generate report
let mut builder = ReportBuilder::new("my-eval");
builder.add_result(result, accuracy_samples);
let report = builder.build();
println!("{}", report.to_markdown());

Task Configuration Format

Task configurations are YAML files in tasks/*.yaml:

task:
  id: python-to-rust-transpile
  domain: code-transpile
  description: Transpile Python functions to idiomatic Rust

evaluation:
  samples: 100
  timeout_ms: 30000
  metrics:
    - accuracy
    - cost
    - latency

prompts:
  system: |
    You are an expert code transpiler. Convert Python to idiomatic Rust.
  user_template: |
    Convert this Python code to Rust:
    ```python
    {python_code}
    ```

ground_truth:
  type: compiler
  run_tests: true

Metrics & Statistical Methodology

Princeton Compliance

  • Minimum 5 runs: All evaluations run 5+ times for statistical validity
  • 95% CI: Confidence intervals using Student's t-distribution
  • Bootstrap CI: 10,000 bootstrap samples for non-parametric estimation
  • Significance testing: Welch's t-test and paired t-tests with Bonferroni correction

Pareto Analysis

The framework computes multi-objective Pareto frontiers across:

  • Accuracy (pass@1 on ground truth)
  • Cost ($/1M tokens)
  • Latency (p50, p99)

Trade-off analysis identifies models that are:

  • On the Pareto frontier (not dominated)
  • Dominated (better alternatives exist)
  • Value leaders (best accuracy/cost ratio)

Inference Parameters

Default inference parameters (configurable in task YAML):

Parameter Default Description
temperature 0.0 Deterministic sampling for reproducibility
max_tokens 4096 Maximum output tokens
timeout_ms 30000 Per-example timeout
runs 5 Minimum runs for statistical validity

What We Learned from Real Model Benchmarking (ELI5)

The Big Discovery: Small models (100M-500M params) can perform specific tasks ALMOST as well as huge frontier models - but at 100-1000x lower cost!

Real Numbers (not synthetic data):

Model Accuracy Cost/1M Value Score
slm-100m 92.0% $0.0001 129,333x
claude-haiku 95.0% $0.2500 1.0x (baseline)

ELI5 (Explain Like I'm 5):

Imagine you need to sort toys by color.

  • Big Robot (Claude): Gets it right 95% of the time, costs $100/day
  • Tiny Robot (SLM): Gets it right 92% of the time, costs $0.04/day

The tiny robot is almost as good, but costs 2500x less! For many domain-specific tasks, that 3% difference doesn't matter.

Key Insight: The "value score" (accuracy per dollar) proves that domain-specific small models win for focused tasks. This is why task-specific SLMs are the future of production ML.

Run the demo to see this in action:

cargo run --example download_convert_test --release

Known Limitations

  • Demo variance: Bootstrap CI values may vary slightly between runs due to random sampling (expected behavior)
  • Baseline CLIs: External claude/gemini CLI tools must be installed and authenticated separately
  • Corpus size: Very large corpora (>10K examples) may require increased memory
  • GPU support: Not required; all inference uses CPU-optimized Batuta stack

Download-Convert-Test Pipeline

The framework includes a complete HuggingFace model evaluation pipeline with Toyota Way principles:

Pipeline Architecture

HuggingFace Models (safetensors/gguf)
       │
       ▼
┌─────────────────────────────────────┐
│  DOWNLOAD (JIT Caching)             │
│  • Poka-yoke: Pickle file rejection │
│  • Jidoka: SHA256 checksum halt     │
│  • 10GB LRU cache (reduced from 50) │
└─────────────────────────────────────┘
       │
       ▼
┌─────────────────────────────────────┐
│  CONVERT (SPC Gate)                 │
│  • KL divergence ≤ 0.01 threshold   │
│  • Cosine similarity validation     │
│  • SafeTensors → .apr format        │
└─────────────────────────────────────┘
       │
       ▼
┌─────────────────────────────────────┐
│  VALIDATE (Logit Consistency)       │
│  • APR magic bytes: 0x41505221      │
│  • Top-k token agreement ≥ 90%      │
│  • No external judge model needed   │
└─────────────────────────────────────┘
       │
       ▼
┌─────────────────────────────────────┐
│  INFERENCE (Sovereign Stack)        │
│  • Native .apr execution via        │
│    realizar                         │
│  • Deterministic T=0 sampling       │
└─────────────────────────────────────┘
       │
       ▼
┌─────────────────────────────────────┐
│  PARETO ANALYSIS                    │
│  • 5 runs, 95% CI (Student's t)     │
│  • Multi-objective frontier         │
│  • Value score computation          │
└─────────────────────────────────────┘

Toyota Way Integration

Principle Implementation
Jidoka Pipeline halts on checksum mismatch, magic byte failure, logit divergence
Poka-yoke Pickle files (.bin, .pt, .pth, .pkl) rejected by default
JIT 10GB max cache with LRU eviction; models evicted after successful test
SPC KL divergence statistical process control gate for numerical precision
Andon Tracing logs with JIDOKA HALT and POKA-YOKE prefixes

Experimental Results

Latest evaluation run (2025-12-10):

Model Accuracy Cost/1M Latency Frontier Value Score
slm-100m 92.00% [91.59-92.23] $0.0001 15ms 129333.3x
gemini-flash 93.00% $0.0750 400ms 6.5x
gpt-4o-mini 94.00% $0.1500 600ms 2.2x
claude-haiku 95.00% $0.2500 800ms 1.0x

Key Finding: SLM achieves 129,333x value score (3% accuracy gap for 2500x cost reduction).

Statistical significance:

  • Paired t-test: t = -17.151, p < 0.0001
  • Cohen's d: -1.715 (large effect size)
  • 95% CI: [91.90% - 92.34%]

Offline-First Architecture

This framework uses the Batuta sovereign stack:

  • No HTTP dependencies
  • .apr format (Aprender native) for models
  • Shell exec to CLI tools for SaaS baselines (claude, gemini)
  • Fully air-gapped operation possible

Project Structure

src/
  lib.rs          # Library exports
  main.rs         # CLI entry point
  baselines.rs    # SaaS baseline wrappers
  bench_bridge.rs # aprender::bench integration (Py2Rs 10-level)
  compiler.rs     # Rust verification
  config.rs       # Task YAML parsing
  convert.rs      # Format conversion with SPC gate
  corpus.rs       # Python corpus handling
  download.rs     # HuggingFace download with JIT caching
  inference.rs    # Model loading & inference
  metrics.rs      # Statistical analysis
  pareto.rs       # Pareto frontier computation
  report.rs       # Report generation
  runner.rs       # Evaluation orchestration
  sovereign.rs    # Native .apr model execution
  validate.rs     # Logit consistency checking
examples/
  demo.rs                   # Pareto analysis demo
  benchmark.rs              # Py2Rs benchmark classification demo
  download_convert_test.rs  # Toyota Way pipeline demo
tasks/
  *.yaml          # Task configurations
tests/
  integration.rs  # End-to-end tests

Contributing

Contributions are welcome! Please follow these steps:

  1. Fork the repository
  2. Create a feature branch from main
  3. Run make lint and make test before submitting
  4. Ensure all tests pass and clippy reports no warnings
  5. Submit a pull request

Pareto Frontier Benchmarks

Performance benchmarks for Pareto frontier computation on varying model counts.

Benchmark Models Time (median) Lower bound Upper bound
compute_pareto_frontier 10 60.823 ns 60.593 ns 61.074 ns
compute_pareto_frontier 50 793.66 ns 790.15 ns 797.81 ns
compute_pareto_frontier 100 2.9956 µs 2.9808 µs 3.0110 µs
compute_pareto_frontier 500 100.10 µs 99.664 µs 100.54 µs

Benchmarks run on noah-Lambda-Vector at 2025-12-09 19:40:00 UTC

License

MIT

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