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fix(forecast-panel): theater card conf=0, scenario type badges, sorted paths #2443

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Merged
koala73 merged 1 commit into from
Mar 28, 2026
+31 −14
Merged

fix(forecast-panel): theater card conf=0, scenario type badges, sorted paths #2443

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22 changes: 13 additions & 9 deletions scripts/seed-forecasts.mjs
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Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -15990,11 +15990,11 @@ Return ONLY a JSON object with no markdown fences:
{ "round": 1, "summary": "<≤160 char>" },
{ "round": 2, "summary": "<≤160 char>" }
],
"confidence": 0.0,
"confidence": 0.35,
"timingMarkers": [{ "event": "<≤80 char>", "timing": "T+Nh" }]
},
{ "pathId": "containment", "label": "...", "summary": "...", "keyActors": [], "roundByRoundEvolution": [], "confidence": 0.0, "timingMarkers": [] },
{ "pathId": "market_cascade", "label": "...", "summary": "...", "keyActors": [], "roundByRoundEvolution": [], "confidence": 0.0, "timingMarkers": [] }
{ "pathId": "containment", "label": "...", "summary": "...", "keyActors": [], "roundByRoundEvolution": [], "confidence": 0.50, "timingMarkers": [] },
{ "pathId": "market_cascade", "label": "...", "summary": "...", "keyActors": [], "roundByRoundEvolution": [], "confidence": 0.15, "timingMarkers": [] }
],
"stabilizers": ["<≤100 char>"],
"invalidators": ["<≤100 char>"],
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -16116,12 +16116,16 @@ async function writeSimulationOutcome(pkg, outcome, { storageConfig } = {}) {
theaterId: tr.theaterId,
theaterLabel: tr.theaterLabel || tr.theaterId,
stateKind: tr.stateKind || '',
topPaths: (tr.topPaths || []).slice(0, 3).map((p) => ({
label: p.label,
summary: p.summary,
confidence: p.confidence,
keyActors: (p.keyActors || []).slice(0, 4),
})),
topPaths: (tr.topPaths || [])
.sort((a, b) => (b.confidence || 0) - (a.confidence || 0))
.slice(0, 3)
.map((p) => ({
pathId: p.pathId || '',
label: p.label,
summary: p.summary,
confidence: p.confidence,
keyActors: (p.keyActors || []).slice(0, 4),
})),
dominantReactions: (tr.dominantReactions || []).slice(0, 3),
stabilizers: (tr.stabilizers || []).slice(0, 3),
invalidators: (tr.invalidators || []).slice(0, 2),
Expand Down
23 changes: 18 additions & 5 deletions src/components/ForecastPanel.ts
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Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -38,7 +38,14 @@ const STATE_KIND_DOMAIN: Record<string, string> = {
};

// --- Types for simulation theater data -------------------------------------
const PATH_ID_LABELS: Record<string, string> = {
escalation: 'Escalation',
containment: 'Containment',
market_cascade: 'Market Cascade',
};

interface SimulationPath {
pathId: string;
label: string;
summary: string;
confidence: number;
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -110,7 +117,11 @@ function injectStyles(): void {
.fc-gauge-bg { fill: none; stroke: var(--border-color, #30363d); stroke-width: 4; }
.fc-gauge-fill { fill: none; stroke-width: 4; stroke-linecap: round; }
.fc-gauge-label { position: absolute; top: 50%; left: 50%; transform: translate(-50%,-50%); font-size: 9px; font-weight: 700; }
.fc-theater-path { font-size: 9px; color: var(--text-secondary, #7d8590); line-height: 1.4; margin-top: 4px; }
.fc-theater-path { font-size: 9px; color: var(--text-secondary, #7d8590); line-height: 1.4; margin-top: 4px; display: flex; align-items: center; gap: 4px; flex-wrap: wrap; }
.fc-path-type { font-size: 8px; padding: 1px 4px; border-radius: 2px; font-weight: 600; letter-spacing: 0.03em; opacity: 0.75; white-space: nowrap; }
.fc-path-type-escalation { background: rgba(224,82,82,0.2); color: #e05252; border: 1px solid rgba(224,82,82,0.3); }
.fc-path-type-containment { background: rgba(63,185,80,0.15); color: #3fb950; border: 1px solid rgba(63,185,80,0.25); }
.fc-path-type-market_cascade { background: rgba(210,153,34,0.15); color: #d29922; border: 1px solid rgba(210,153,34,0.25); }
.fc-cat-tag {
font-size: 9px; padding: 1px 5px; border-radius: 3px; white-space: nowrap;
flex-shrink: 0; font-weight: 500; display: inline-block;
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -330,11 +341,11 @@ export class ForecastPanel extends Panel {
stroke-dasharray="${circ.toFixed(1)}"
stroke-dashoffset="${offset.toFixed(1)}"/>
</svg>
<span class="fc-gauge-label" style="color:${confColor}">${confPct}%</span>
<span class="fc-gauge-label" style="color:${confColor}">${conf > 0 ? confPct + '%' : '—'}</span>
</div>
</div>
<span class="fc-cat-tag" style="background:${color}1f;color:${color};border:1px solid ${color}47">${escapeHtml(catLabel)}</span>
${dominantPath ? `<div class="fc-theater-path">${escapeHtml(dominantPath.label)}</div>` : ''}
${dominantPath ? `<div class="fc-theater-path">${dominantPath.pathId ? `<span class="fc-path-type fc-path-type-${escapeHtml(dominantPath.pathId)}">${escapeHtml(PATH_ID_LABELS[dominantPath.pathId] ?? dominantPath.pathId)}</span>` : ''}${escapeHtml(dominantPath.label)}</div>` : ''}
</div>
`;
}
Expand All @@ -348,10 +359,12 @@ export class ForecastPanel extends Panel {
const pathsHtml = t.topPaths.map(p => {
const pctColor = p.confidence >= 0.65 ? '#3fb950' : p.confidence >= 0.45 ? '#d29922' : '#e05252';
const actors = p.keyActors.map(a => `<span class="fc-actor-chip">${escapeHtml(a)}</span>`).join('');
const typeTag = p.pathId ? `<span class="fc-path-type fc-path-type-${escapeHtml(p.pathId)}">${escapeHtml(PATH_ID_LABELS[p.pathId] ?? p.pathId)}</span>` : '';
const confText = p.confidence > 0 ? `${Math.round(p.confidence * 100)}% probability` : '—';
return `
<div class="fc-path-card">
<div class="fc-path-label">${escapeHtml(p.label)}</div>
<div class="fc-path-conf">${Math.round(p.confidence * 100)}% probability</div>
<div class="fc-path-label">${typeTag}${escapeHtml(p.label)}</div>
<div class="fc-path-conf">${confText}</div>
<div class="fc-path-bar" style="background:${pctColor};width:${Math.round(p.confidence * 100)}%"></div>
<div class="fc-path-summary">${escapeHtml(p.summary)}</div>
${actors ? `<div class="fc-path-actors">${actors}</div>` : ''}
Expand Down
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